Get ready for a WNBA Finals showdown that no one saw coming! The Phoenix Mercury and Las Vegas Aces are set to clash in a desert duel that promises fireworks, but here’s where it gets controversial: can the Mercury’s rising stars dethrone the Aces’ dynasty? The Athletic brings you live coverage of this electrifying matchup, starting with Game 1 of the 2025 WNBA Finals. But first, let’s dive into what makes this series so captivating.
The Las Vegas Aces are no strangers to the Finals, making their third appearance in four years and aiming for a third title. Meanwhile, the Phoenix Mercury are back on the big stage for the first time since 2021, but with a completely revamped roster. Gone are the days of Diana Taurasi and Brittney Griner; instead, the Mercury now boast a dynamic 'Big Three' of Alyssa Thomas, Satou Sabally, and Kahleah Copper. And this is the part most people miss: despite the Aces winning three of their four regular-season matchups, the Mercury are peaking at the perfect time, playing with a consistency Las Vegas hasn’t matched in the postseason.
Both teams are stacked with star power, including a trio of 2024 Olympians in their starting lineups. But who has the edge? Let’s break it down.
Offense vs. Defense: The Aces’ Firepower Against the Mercury’s Resilience
The Aces, led by the unstoppable A’ja Wilson, boast the league’s best player. But Phoenix’s defense, anchored by Thomas and Natasha Mack, will be tested. Wilson’s dominance is undeniable—even Indiana’s Aliyah Boston couldn’t contain her in the semifinals. However, the Mercury’s flexibility in matchups, with Thomas guarding everyone from Chelsea Gray to Wilson, could disrupt the Aces’ rhythm. Here’s the controversial take: while Wilson is a force, Phoenix’s ability to adapt and force other Aces players to step up might just be their secret weapon.
On the other side, Jackie Young, fresh off a stellar series against the Fever, will face tough resistance from Phoenix’s Monique Akoa Makani and Copper. Young’s efficiency will be key, especially with Gray poised to exploit the midrange if Phoenix focuses on protecting the paint. But here’s the question: Can the Aces’ offense maintain its firepower against a Mercury defense that’s hitting its stride?
The Mercury’s Offensive Puzzle: Size, Speed, and Sabally
Phoenix’s offense relies heavily on Thomas and Sabally, two forwards who can create mismatches. But the Aces’ smaller lineups, featuring Gray and Young, have dared Sabally to beat them in the post—a challenge she’s rarely taken. Here’s where it gets intriguing: If Sabally can exploit her size advantage and crash the offensive glass, the Mercury’s offense could thrive. However, if the Aces neutralize her, Phoenix’s scoring options become limited.
Thomas, the Mercury’s engine, will likely face Wilson as her primary defender. But Las Vegas’ ability to slow her down in transition and force Phoenix into 3-point shooting—an area where the Aces excel defensively—could be a game-changer. The bold prediction: This series might hinge on whether Sabally and Thomas can consistently outperform the Aces’ defensive schemes.
X-Factors and Predictions
The Aces’ veteran experience in crunch time has been their strength, but this postseason has been a mixed bag. Meanwhile, the Mercury have been dominant in the fourth quarter, outscoring opponents by wide margins. The real debate: Can Las Vegas regain their late-game poise, or will Phoenix’s momentum carry them to victory?
Phoenix’s bench, led by Sami Whitcomb and DeWanna Bonner, provides depth the Aces can’t match. Bonner’s clutch 3-point shooting and Whitcomb’s aggression could be the difference in a close series. But here’s the counterpoint: Can the Mercury’s bench sustain their production against a battle-tested Aces squad?
Final Thoughts and Your Turn
Our predictions? Sabreena Merchant and Ben Pickman both pick the Mercury in six games, citing their current form and versatility. But what do you think? Is this the year the Mercury’s new era begins, or will the Aces’ experience prevail? Let us know in the comments—we want to hear your take on this unpredictable Finals matchup!
